I was watching the BBC News this morning and the head guy from IPSOS Mori was on talking about the election polls. For the first time I heard anyone mention margin of error which is actually pretty important with this kind of 1000 people snap sample stuff.
The margin of error is + or – 3%.
That means that the polls could be as much as 3% out either way.
He also talked about as many as 4 in 10 people (40%) in marginal seats still being undecided.
That also means that no-one has any idea who will win.
He also mentioned how the current polls would translate into seats:
- Conservatives on around 43% would get around 260 seats
- Labour on around 28% would get around 260 seats
- Liberal Democrats on 29% would get around 90 seats.
Is it just me or is there something very wrong with our electoral system?